The electoral map is tilting badly against Donald Trump right now
ÀÏ´Ü ÃÖ±Ù ¿©·ÐÁ¶»ç
* A
Fox News poll in Arizona
shows
J
oe Biden leading
Trump 46% to 42%
* A
Fox News poll in Ohio
put
Biden at 45%
to Trump's 43%
* A
Fox News poll in Wisconsin
had
Biden at 49% and Trump at 40%.
* A
Quinnipiac University poll in Texas
had the race at
Trump 44%
, Biden 43%.
=>
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,
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Âü°í·Î Ç÷θ®´Ùµµ ¹ÙÀÌµç ¿ì¼¼....
Now, let's look at what these numbers would mean to Trump's chances of getting to 270 in November.
Start here: Trump got 306 electoral votes in his 2016 win. Now, consider these 2020 scenarios (all calculations made via
270towin.com
):
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* If Trump loses Texas (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden, 270 electoral votes to 268 electoral votes.
¸¸¾à Æ®·³ÇÁ°¡ Åػ罺¸¦ »©¾Ñ±â¸é (2016³â¿¡ ¾òÀº °÷À» ´Ù À̰ܵµ) 270´ë 268·Î Áü
(±×¸¸Å Åػ罺°¡ °æÇÕÁÖ°¡ µÇ¾î¹ö¸²...)
* If Trump loses Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 278 to 260.
¸¸¾à ¹Ì½Ã°£, Ææ½Çº£´Ï¾Æ , À§½ºÄܽÅÀ» »©¾Ñ±â¸é
(2016³â¿¡ ¾òÀº °÷À» ´Ù À̰ܵµ)
278 ´ë 260À¸·Î Áü
* If Trump loses Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 279 to 259.
¸¸¾à ¾Æ¸®Á¶³ª, ¹Ì½Ã°£, Ææ½Çº£´Ï¾Æ¸¦ »©¾Ñ±â¸é
(2016³â¿¡ ¾òÀº °÷À» ´Ù À̰ܵµ)
279´ë 259·Î Áü
* If Trump loses Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 276 to 262.
¸¸¾à ¿ÀÇÏÀÌ¿À, ¹Ì½Ã°£, À§½ºÄܽÅÀ» »©¾Ñ±â¸é
(2016³â¿¡ ¾òÀº °÷À» ´Ù À̰ܵµ)
276´ë 262·Î Áü
* If Trump loses Arizona, Ohio and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 271 to 267.
¸¸¾à ¾Æ¸®Á¶³ª, ¿ÀÇÏÀÌ¿À, À§½ºÄܽÅÀ» »©¾Ñ±â¸é
(2016³â¿¡ ¾òÀº °÷À» ´Ù À̰ܵµ)
271´ë 267·Î Áü....
The point here is not to say any of these electoral map scenarios are locked in. After all, we are still 152 days away from the November 3 election. (And, yes, I counted.)
¼±°ÅÀÏÀº ¾ÕÀ¸·Î 152ÀÏÀÌ ³²¾Ò°í ÀÌ·± ¼±°Å½Ã³ª¸®¿À°¡ ¾È ÀÏ¾î³´Ù°í ¸»À» ¸øÇÏ´Â »óȲÀÓ..
°á·Ð : ÇöÀç »óȲÀº Æ®·³ÇÁ¿¡ ¸Å¿ì ºÒ¸®ÇÑ »óȲÀ̶ó´Â..
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How bad are those numbers for Trump? To put a fine point on it: Really bad.
¾ó¸¶³ª Æ®·³ÇÁ¿¡°Ô ºÒ¸®Çմϱî? Á¤¸» ½ÉÇÏ°Ô ³ª»Þ´Ï´Ù....
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/04/politics/electoral-map-2020-election-donald-trump-joe-biden/index.html
* Çؼ®¿¡ ¹®Á¦°¡ ÀÖÀ¸¸é ¾Ë·ÁÁÖ¼¼¿ä...