The electoral map is tilting badly against Donald Trump right now
일단 최근 여론조사
* A
Fox News poll in Arizona
shows
J
oe Biden leading
Trump 46% to 42%
* A
Fox News poll in Ohio
put
Biden at 45%
to Trump's 43%
* A
Fox News poll in Wisconsin
had
Biden at 49% and Trump at 40%.
* A
Quinnipiac University poll in Texas
had the race at
Trump 44%
, Biden 43%.
=>
아리조나, 오하이오, 위스콘신 바이든 우세
,
텍사스는 "겨우" 트럼프 우세
참고로 플로리다도 바이든 우세....
Now, let's look at what these numbers would mean to Trump's chances of getting to 270 in November.
Start here: Trump got 306 electoral votes in his 2016 win. Now, consider these 2020 scenarios (all calculations made via
270towin.com
):
2016년에는 선거인단 306명을 얻어 승리
* If Trump loses Texas (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden, 270 electoral votes to 268 electoral votes.
만약 트럼프가 텍사스를 빼앗기면 (2016년에 얻은 곳을 다 이겨도) 270대 268로 짐
(그만큼 텍사스가 경합주가 되어버림...)
* If Trump loses Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 278 to 260.
만약 미시간, 펜실베니아 , 위스콘신을 빼앗기면
(2016년에 얻은 곳을 다 이겨도)
278 대 260으로 짐
* If Trump loses Arizona, Michigan and Pennsylvania (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 279 to 259.
만약 아리조나, 미시간, 펜실베니아를 빼앗기면
(2016년에 얻은 곳을 다 이겨도)
279대 259로 짐
* If Trump loses Ohio, Michigan and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 276 to 262.
만약 오하이오, 미시간, 위스콘신을 빼앗기면
(2016년에 얻은 곳을 다 이겨도)
276대 262로 짐
* If Trump loses Arizona, Ohio and Wisconsin (and wins everywhere else he won in 2016), he
loses
to Biden 271 to 267.
만약 아리조나, 오하이오, 위스콘신을 빼앗기면
(2016년에 얻은 곳을 다 이겨도)
271대 267로 짐....
The point here is not to say any of these electoral map scenarios are locked in. After all, we are still 152 days away from the November 3 election. (And, yes, I counted.)
선거일은 앞으로 152일이 남았고 이런 선거시나리오가 안 일어난다고 말을 못하는 상황임..
결론 : 현재 상황은 트럼프에 매우 불리한 상황이라는..
물론 선거는 오늘이 아니라서 아직도 많은 변수가 남아있음...
How bad are those numbers for Trump? To put a fine point on it: Really bad.
얼마나 트럼프에게 불리합니까? 정말 심하게 나쁩니다....
https://edition.cnn.com/2020/06/04/politics/electoral-map-2020-election-donald-trump-joe-biden/index.html
* 해석에 문제가 있으면 알려주세요...
(비밀상점)
대용량 일회용 전자담배 비밀특가!
(6711)
